Levante vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips – La Liga
Atletico Madrid Target Points at Levante Following Narrow Victory
Atletico Madrid recorded a 1-0 victory over Deportivo La Coruna in their most recent fixture, maintaining their defensive consistency across recent outings. Positioned 2nd in La Liga with 25 points from 10 matches, Atletico visit 14th-placed Levante, who currently sit on 10 points. Levante enter Saturday, 31 Oct 2026 at 13:00 UTC coming off a 1-2 defeat against Real Sociedad, reflecting ongoing difficulties in holding back opposition attacks.
Levante Attack Scores Frequently But Defense Remains Vulnerable
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | La Liga | Real Sociedad | 1-2 | Loss |
| 2026-10-21 | La Liga | Athletic Club | 3-1 | Win |
| 2026-10-16 | La Liga | Deportivo La Coruna | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2026-10-12 | La Liga | Sevilla | 3-3 | Draw |
| 2026-09-20 | La Liga | Villarreal | 1-3 | Loss |
Levante score an average of 1.8 goals/game but concede 2.0 conceded/game, creating open matches with high goal counts. Recent form across all competitions stands at LWDDL, featuring a 3-1 victory over Athletic Club alongside a high-scoring 3-3 draw against Sevilla. Defensive depth is limited for this fixture with E. Bardeli and Dela listed among team absences.
Atletico Madrid Rely on Strong Defensive Record Away From Home
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | La Liga | Deportivo La Coruna | 1-0 | Win |
| 2026-10-20 | UEFA Champions League | VfB Stuttgart | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2026-10-17 | La Liga | Espanyol | 1-0 | Win |
| 2026-10-13 | UEFA Champions League | Manchester United | 2-0 | Win |
| 2026-10-10 | La Liga | Alaves | 2-1 | Win |
Atletico Madrid maintain an average of 1.4 goals/game scored while conceding just 0.4 conceded/game. Their recent form across all competitions reads WDWWW, including a 2-0 win over Manchester United and a 1-0 win against Espanyol. Squad rotation may be factors given absences to Koke, C. Romero, and J. Cardoso.
Levante vs Atletico Madrid Recent Head-to-Head History
Head-to-head records across their last two meetings show one victory for Atletico Madrid and one draw. Atletico Madrid earned a 3-1 home win on 8 November 2025, followed by a 0-0 draw at Levante on 31 January 2026.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | La Liga | Levante vs Atletico Madrid | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2025-11-08 | La Liga | Atletico Madrid vs Levante | 3-1 | Atletico Madrid |
Predicted Lineups and Squad News
Levante – Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | M. Ryan |
| Defender | J. Toljan |
| Defender | A. Mandi |
| Defender | Jorge Cabello |
| Defender | Manu Sánchez |
| Midfielder | Oriol Rey |
| Midfielder | Hugo Sotelo |
| Midfielder | Jon Ander Olasagasti |
| Midfielder | Brugui |
| Attacker | Iván Romero |
| Attacker | P. Ratkov |
Atletico Madrid – Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | Jan Oblak |
| Defender | Marc Pubill |
| Defender | Cristian Romero |
| Defender | Robin Le Normand |
| Defender | Dávid Hancko |
| Midfielder | Morten Hjulmand |
| Midfielder | Pablo Barrios Rivas |
| Midfielder | Alejandro Baena Rodríguez |
| Attacker | Julián Álvarez |
| Attacker | Alexander Sørloth |
| Attacker | Ademola Lookman |
Team News
Levante absences: E. Bardeli, Dela, E. Bardeli, Dela.
Atletico Madrid absences: Koke, J. Cardoso, C. Romero, Koke, J. Cardoso, C. Romero.
Evaluating Odds and Expected Value Metrics
Bookmakers set Atletico Madrid as 1.55 favorites, reflecting a estimated win probability around 61%. Our numerical model evaluates an away victory at -5.4% expected value, indicating the market price offers no betting edge. Levante are priced at 4.6 with an expected value of -26.4%, while the draw stands at 4.4 with a marginal +1.2% expected value. Given the tight pricing structures across all 1X2 markets, taking a position on the match outcome is not recommended.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Value Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Levante | 4.6 | No value |
| Draw | Draw | 4.4 | No value |
| Match Result | Atletico Madrid | 1.55 | No value |
Match Odds Analysis and Verdict
Atletico Madrid hold the statistical advantage based on their defensive concession rate of 0.4 goals per game compared to Levante’s 2.0 conceded per game. However, current odds do not provide sufficient expected value to justify a wager. Pass on the match result market for this fixture.
| Predicted Score | Levante 0-2 Atletico Madrid |
| Most Likely Result | Away Win |
| Recommended Bet | No bet – no value vs odds |
How This Prediction Was Made
This prediction was prepared by Javier Torres. The pick combines Javier’s experience following European football with data gathered for this specific match. Data used: current league table, each team’s last five results, head-to-head history, injury and suspension news, pre-match odds, our own outcome probabilities.
Responsible Gambling
18+. This prediction is an opinion based on data, not a guarantee. Betting involves risk – only stake what you can afford to lose and gamble responsibly.
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