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Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction & Betting Tips – Premier League Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction & Betting Tips – Premier League
Leeds Host Tottenham in Premier League Fixture
Leeds United average 0.4 goals per game while allowing 1.0, contrasting with Tottenham Hotspur who score 2.0 goals per game and also concede 1.0. This gap in offensive output defines the upcoming Premier League match scheduled for Saturday, 7 Nov 2026 at 12:30 UTC. Leeds have managed three points from their last five matches, while Tottenham enter with three wins in their past four outings.
Leeds United Struggling for Goals in Recent Matches
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | Premier League | Bournemouth | 0-2 | Loss |
| 2026-10-25 | Premier League | Sunderland | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2026-10-18 | Premier League | Manchester United | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2026-10-10 | Premier League | Arsenal | 1-2 | Loss |
| 2026-09-20 | Premier League | Crystal Palace | 0-0 | Draw |
Leeds United enter this match with a recent form of LDDLD across all competitions. Across their past five fixtures, they scored just two total goals, including 0-0 draws against Crystal Palace and Sunderland alongside a 0-2 defeat to Bournemouth. Their average of 0.4 goals scored per game highlights offensive limitations despite maintaining a defensive record of 1.0 goal conceded per game.
Tottenham Hotspur Maintain Strong Offensive Output
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | Premier League | Crystal Palace | 2-0 | Win |
| 2026-10-24 | Premier League | Chelsea | 2-0 | Win |
| 2026-10-19 | Premier League | Coventry | 3-1 | Win |
| 2026-10-10 | Premier League | Manchester United | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2026-09-19 | Premier League | Aston Villa | 2-3 | Loss |
Tottenham Hotspur hold a recent form record of WWWDL across all competitions, featuring back-to-back 2-0 victories against Chelsea and Crystal Palace. Averaging 2.0 goals scored per game, their attack has shown consistency while conceding 1.0 goal per game. A 3-1 win over Coventry further reflects their offensive strength entering this weekend.
Tottenham Lead Recent Head-to-Head Record
In their two previous meetings in the Premier League, Tottenham Hotspur recorded one win and one draw against Leeds United. Their most recent fixture on May 11, 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw, following a 2-1 Tottenham victory on October 4, 2025. Leeds have not recorded a victory against Tottenham across these past two matches.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Premier League | Tottenham vs Leeds | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2025-10-04 | Premier League | Leeds vs Tottenham | 1-2 | Tottenham |
Predicted Starting Lineups and Team News
Leeds United – Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | J. Trafford |
| Midfielder | J. Bogle |
| Defender | J. Rodon |
| Defender | N. Elvedi |
| Midfielder | G. Gudmundsson |
| Midfielder | E. Ampadu |
| Midfielder | S. Longstaff |
| Midfielder | A. Stach |
| Midfielder | D. James |
| Attacker | D. Calvert-Lewin |
| Midfielder | H. Wilson |
Tottenham Hotspur – Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | M. Dúbravka |
| Defender | Pedro Porro |
| Defender | M. van de Ven |
| Defender | T. Adarabioyo |
| Defender | D. Udogie |
| Midfielder | S. Tonali |
| Midfielder | R. Bentancur |
| Midfielder | M. Kudus |
| Midfielder | J. Maddison |
| Midfielder | D. Kulusevski |
| Attacker | D. Solanke |
Team News
Leeds United absences: No key absences.
Tottenham Hotspur absences: No key absences.
Model Identifies Positive Value on Tottenham Victory
Bookmakers price a home victory for Leeds United at 2.47 and a Tottenham Hotspur win at 2.68, with the draw set at 3.21. Our probability model estimates Tottenham’s win chance at 66%, compared to 12% for Leeds and 22% for a draw. This evaluation creates an expected value of +76.9% on an away win at 2.68 odds, whereas the home win yields -70.4% expected value. Given Tottenham’s average of 2.0 goals scored per game versus Leeds’ 0.4, the market line underprices the away team.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Value Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Leeds United | 2.47 | No value |
| Draw | Draw | 3.21 | No value |
| Match Result | Tottenham Hotspur | 2.68 | ★★★ Value |
Final Prediction and Match Result Model
Underlying numbers favor Tottenham Hotspur based on scoring conversion and current momentum across competitions. Leeds United’s rate of 0.4 goals scored per game makes it difficult to back a home result against a team averaging 2.0 goals scored. An away victory reflects the positive expected value identified by our model.
| Predicted Score | Leeds United 0-2 Tottenham Hotspur |
| Most Likely Result | Away Win |
| Recommended Bet | Away Win @ 2.68 (EV +77%) |
How This Prediction Was Made
This prediction was prepared by Oliver Grant. The pick combines Oliver’s experience following European football with data gathered for this specific match. Data used: each team’s last five results, head-to-head history, injury and suspension news, pre-match odds, our own outcome probabilities.
Responsible Gambling
18+. This prediction is an opinion based on data, not a guarantee. Betting involves risk – only stake what you can afford to lose and gamble responsibly.
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